Tory landslide predicted
An exclusive exit poll conducted for Felix yesterday predicted a majority of 255 for the Conservatives in the General Election.
Figures collected outside Linstead Hall Polling Station indicated a sharp swing, against all national expectations, away from Labour. This will almost certainly leave Peter Brooke holding a sweeping majority in his Cities of London and Westminister seat (already one of the safest Tory seats in the country).
Results of exclusive Felix exit poll
Peter Brooke (Conservative) 61.8%
Kate Green (Labour) 18.4%
Mike Dumigan (Lib Dem) 15.3%
Alan Waters (Refferendum) 1.7%
Jerry Sadowitz (Rainbow) 1.0%
Nick Walsh (Loony) 0.7%
Richard Johnson (Nat Law) 0.7%
Gordon Webster (Hemp) 0.3%
Colin Merton (UK Indep) 0%
Patricia Wharton (Barts) 0%
In 1992, Mr Brooke took 25,512 votes, compared to 10,368 for Labour (figures adjusted for boundary changes since the last election). This equates to a 35.2% lead over Labour. However, yesterday’s polling indiates an increased 43.4% lead - a 8.2% swing from left to right.
If this result was to be extrapolated across the entire country, assuming a uniform swing (the basis of the Swingometer utilised by Peter Snow), a notional Tory majority - and remember this is only for fun - of 255 is formed.
Although this poll surveyed only one polling station, it is interesting to note that a swing towards the Tories was found at a ballot taking place in a College Hall. This reflects the opinion of pollsters that IC students are evenly split amongst the three main parties - firmly bucking the percieved feeling that all students are by their nature dyed-in-the-wool socialists and radicals