News

Tory landslide predicted

An exclusive exit poll conducted for Felix yesterday predicted a majority of 255 for the Conservatives in the General Election.

Figures collected outside Linstead Hall Polling Station indicated a sharp swing, against all national expectations, away from Labour. This will almost certainly leave Peter Brooke holding a sweeping majority in his Cities of London and Westminister seat (already one of the safest Tory seats in the country).

Results of exclusive Felix exit poll

Peter Brooke (Conservative) 61.8%

Kate Green (Labour) 18.4%

Mike Dumigan (Lib Dem) 15.3%

Alan Waters (Refferendum) 1.7%

Jerry Sadowitz (Rainbow) 1.0%

Nick Walsh (Loony) 0.7%

Richard Johnson (Nat Law) 0.7%

Gordon Webster (Hemp) 0.3%

Colin Merton (UK Indep) 0%

Patricia Wharton (Barts) 0%

In 1992, Mr Brooke took 25,512 votes, compared to 10,368 for Labour (figures adjusted for boundary changes since the last election). This equates to a 35.2% lead over Labour. However, yesterday’s polling indiates an increased 43.4% lead - a 8.2% swing from left to right.

If this result was to be extrapolated across the entire country, assuming a uniform swing (the basis of the Swingometer utilised by Peter Snow), a notional Tory majority - and remember this is only for fun - of 255 is formed.

Although this poll surveyed only one polling station, it is interesting to note that a swing towards the Tories was found at a ballot taking place in a College Hall. This reflects the opinion of pollsters that IC students are evenly split amongst the three main parties - firmly bucking the percieved feeling that all students are by their nature dyed-in-the-wool socialists and radicals

From Issue 1085

2nd May 1997

Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents

Explore the edition

Read more

Hot takes: Murakami

Books

Hot takes: Murakami

Haruki Murakami has become a household name. Often seen as the frontrunner of Japanese literature in the West, he has also become an increasingly divisive author. Despite criticism regarding his presentation of women, and repetitiveness or banality in his oeuvre, Murakami still emerges as a widely read, well-enjoyed novelist. So

By Aditi Mehta, Mohammad Majlisi and Tarun Nair